Recently I wrote an opinion in an
on-line forum that with the election of Barack Obama to the presidency of
the United States socialism in our country had reached 'critical mass'. I
was, of course, challenged from many directions about just about everything
in the piece including the word socialism and the meaning of critical mass.
Ultimately I refined my statement to remove ambiguity to say that our
country has changed from one whose government was supposed to have limited
power and focused on individualism to one with few limits on its power to
regulate individuals and focused on collectivism and that, given Mr. Obama's
plans for reorganizing the income tax processes, the possibility of ever
reversing the trend to ever more collectivism is vanishingly small.
I was then challenged to opine on
what the future holds if my contention is correct. In reply I offered the
following:
I’m not very good as a
futurist and never have been so it’s a very difficult question for me to
answer in any detail. That being said, what has happened and where are we
now seems to be a place to start.
1. In the last election we
were presented with collectivist (socialist) and collectivist (socialist)-lite.
The concept of a smaller, less intrusive government is no longer supported
by either of the major parties. Only a small number of individuals subscribe
to that view and they have been effectively marginalized by their party and
the media. Not many pay attention to them any more.
2. The concept of reducing
cost as a way to reverse the growing descent into ever increasing debt is no
longer in favor, increasing revenue through ever more creative taxation
methodologies is in favor and is likely to remain so for as long into the
future as I can reasonably hope to see. Every serious attempt to do so,
e.g., steps to become really energy independent, will devolve to a SCOTUS
decision adding huge costs in terms of time and money so that they will
never become reality.
3. The unfettered authority
given Congress to tax and spend has bred the current system of pay-to-play
between our professional politicians and those with money. While, in theory,
this could be reversed by reversing such Supreme Court decisions as the
Helvering vs. Davis decision and imposing term limits on Congress and the
Supreme Court, that will never happen. They are in a symbiotic relationship.
4. It will be many years
before the fundamental balance between left and right in the Supreme Court
will change so there may be some push-back from the more egregious
socialistic regulations but only those. Ever more intrusion into our
individual daily lives through regulation will be the ‘order-of-the-day’
regardless of any resistance from individuals or groups. Every controversial
issue will be decided upon by SCOTUS. We are an oligarchy and we’re likely
to remain so.
5. The demographics of the
country are changing rapidly. The ties to our traditions and cultural
heritage are rapidly being sundered and/or diluted. Virtually all education
related to our heritage has either been abandoned or transmogrified to
support socialistic ideologies (frequently camouflaged as ecological
subjects). The feelings of being a united people are being eroded as
ethnicity becomes more and more important. Relativism continues to gain
acceptance which further erodes unity.
So, where is this all
leading?
[First, a caveat. All of
this is theoretically reversible. But, to effect a reversal would require a
massive education of the electorate in the face of unimaginable resistance
generated by those currently benefiting from the status quo, including a
growing majority of that very electorate. Only a cataclysmic paradigm shift
will ever initiate that scenario.]
What will happen?
In a word?
1. We will continue to lose
our position as a world leader and will become subject to the whims and
wills of off-shore nations and ideologies. We will be dictated to and will
be unable and, perhaps, unwilling to assert our own wishes.
2. We will be hostage to
our creditors and we will see our standard of living decline as they take
more and more over time of the ‘fruits of our labor’ for themselves.
3. We will suffer an
increasing number of physical attacks per unit time at home and abroad.
4. Entrepreneurial
enterprises and innovation will decline as it becomes harder and harder to
overcome regulatory and judicial barriers to change and novelty (except in
the arena of entertainment).
Is that future as I see it
good or bad? That’s up to you. Relativism says there is no good or bad.
It’s all relative.